预测青少年的环境行动:从个人到国家层面的因素,使用可解释的机器学习方法
Bo Hu1, Jing Gao2, Yannuo Feng3
1School of Social and Behavioral Science, Nanjing University, PR China.
Journal of environmental management
|June 29, 2025
概括
青少年的环境行动受到个人态度和国家背景的影响. 了解这些因素是促进全球环境参与和可持续发展的关键.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 教育教育教育教育教育教育.
背景情况:
- 青年是环境行动和社会变革的关键代理人.
- 影响青年环境行为的因素,特别是国家层面的影响,需要进一步调查.
- 现有的研究往往忽略了青少年对环境参与的多层次影响.
研究的目的:
- 确定与青少年的私人领域和公共领域环境行动相关的个人,学校和国家因素.
- 通过使用全球数据集,分析青年环境行为的多层次决定因素.
- 突出国家背景在塑造青年环境参与中的重要性.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自66个国家的420,339名青少年的PISA-2018数据.
- 使用机器学习模型 (LightGBM,XGBoost) 进行预测分析.
- 应用沙普利增量解释 (SHAP) 来确定特征重要性和非线性效应.
主要成果:
- 个人因素,如环境态度和批判性思维,与私人领域的行为有关.
- 国家因素,包括可持续发展目标 (SDG) 绩效和国家脆弱性,强烈影响公共领域的行动.
- 多层次分析揭示了不同类型的青年环境行动的不同驱动因素.
结论:
- 个人和国家层面的因素对于理解青年环境行动至关重要.
- 国家背景在青少年中显著塑造了公共领域的环境参与.
- 未来的研究和干预应整合多层次的观点,强调国家对青年环境行为的影响.
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