用人口风险预测来规划医疗保健:对医疗保健规划师的经验和观点进行定性研究
Julie George1, Angus I G Ramsay2, Sonya Crowe3
1Institute of Health Informatics, UCL, London WC1E 7HB, UK.
Journal of public health (Oxford, England)
|July 1, 2025
概括
金融和组织稳定是使用人口风险预测模型在国家卫生服务 (NHS) 内的医疗保健规划中的关键. 仅仅投资于人员和数据系统是不足以有效实施的.
科学领域:
- 医疗保健服务研究 医疗服务研究
- 医疗信息学 医疗信息学
- 公共卫生政策 公共卫生政策
背景情况:
- 国家卫生服务 (NHS) 政策制定者旨在将数据分析整合到医疗保健规划和预防中.
- 目前对人口风险预测模型在NHS规划中的实际应用的理解有限.
研究的目的:
- 调查当地支付机构如何使用人口风险预测模型来规划医疗保健.
- 确定影响采用这些预测工具的推动因素和障碍.
主要方法:
- 定性案例研究方法涉及五个NHS付款机构.
- 与20名高级决策者进行半结构面试.
- 通过传播创新框架进行分析.
主要成果:
- 具有财务稳定和现有健康情报投资的组织更有可能使用风险预测.
- 障碍包括财务不稳定,劳动力能力,系统变化干扰,数据质量问题以及对其他见解 (例如患者体验) 的偏好.
结论:
- 金融和组织稳定对于在NHS预防计划中有效使用风险预测至关重要.
- 对员工能力,技能和数据系统的投资必须与稳定的组织环境相辅相成.
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