北克反复发生的儿童保护参与:多项逻辑回归分析
Johanna Caldwell1, Tonino Esposito2
1School of Social Work, McGill University, 550 Sherbrooke Street West Suite 100, Montreal, Quebec H3A 1B9, Canada.
Child abuse & neglect
|July 1, 2025
概括
超过三分之一的儿童在儿童保护服务返回同样的原因,社会经济因素没有显著预测复发. 了解这些模式是有效的家庭支持的关键.
科学领域:
- 儿童福利研究儿童福利研究
- 公共卫生政策 公共卫生政策
- 家庭社会学 家庭社会学
背景情况:
- 与儿童保护服务相关的儿童往往会经历反复的参与.
- 社会经济脆弱性可能存在,但不能预测经常性儿童保护参与.
研究的目的:
- 分析患有复发症的儿童中复发性儿童保护参与的原因.
- 确定重新进入儿童保护系统的模式.
主要方法:
- 在加拿大北克省 (2002-2017) 的匿名行政儿童保护数据上使用多项物流回归分析.
- 包括24,809名儿童的初步证据和案件开放,以及76,176名儿童的复发数据.
- 根据社会经济脆弱性,年龄和性别进行控制,以预测复发原因.
主要成果:
- 超过三分之一的复发案件以与最初的证据相同的原因返回儿童保护.
- 由于相同原因,复发的几率在大多数类别中都是统计学上显著的.
- 社会经济脆弱性与任何特定原因的复发几率增加没有显著关联.
结论:
- 了解由于类似或不同的原因重新入境的可能性对于改善儿童保护政策和实践至关重要.
- 调查结果可以为更高效的资金分配提供信息,用于预防和支持面临风险家庭的服务.
- 确定复发的具体原因,以有效地定制干预措施.
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