地缘政治,技术和经济对美国能源安全的影响:量子波小波分析
1Faculty of Law, Economics and Management of Jendouba, University of Jendouba, Tunisia.
Journal of environmental management
|July 1, 2025
概括
技术创新促进了美国的能源安全 (ENS),而地缘政治风险 (GPR) 则带来了挑战. 对可再生能源和人力资本的投资是提高国家能源弹性和经济增长的关键.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 地缘政治地缘政治地缘政治
背景情况:
- 能源安全 (ENS) 是国家稳定的关键问题.
- 地缘政治风险 (GPR) 和技术创新显著影响能源格局.
- 了解这些因素的动态相互作用对于政策制定至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 研究美国ENS,GPR,技术创新和经济因素之间的复杂关系.
- 分析不同变量分布的不对称影响.
- 为提高美国能源弹性提供数据驱动的见解.
主要方法:
- 使用了先进的计量经济学技术,包括量子单位根 (QADF,QPP) 和量子联合集成 (QCT) 测试.
- 使用量子对量子回归 (QQR) 和波形量子相关性 (WQC) 进行动态分析.
- 分析了从1990Q1到2021Q4的美国数据,涵盖能源安全,地缘政治风险,研发,可再生能源投资,GDP,人力资本和全球化.
主要成果:
- 高地缘政治风险加剧了低ENS水平的能源不安全性,但刺激了高ENS水平的适应.
- 技术创新,特别是可再生能源的研发,不断提高能源安全.
- 经济增长和人力资本与ENS有积极的相关性,而全球化的影响则取决于环境.
结论:
- 针对可再生能源,教育和基础设施的有针对性的投资对于加强美国能源弹性至关重要.
- 政策应解决地缘政治风险对能源安全的不对称影响.
- 为了平衡能源安全,经济增长和环境可持续性,需要综合战略.
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