基于多属性决策方法的运河路线计划评估研究
Xinran Fan1, Shiwen Tai2,3, Liang Zhong4
1National Engineering Research Center for Inland Waterway Regulation Chongqing Jiaotong University, 400074, Chongqing, China.
Scientific reports
|July 1, 2025
概括
本研究引入了对运河路线选择的强大决策模型,整合了准确和客观的工程设计的多个标准. 开发的系统通过提高方案选择准确性和可靠性来增强运河工程.
科学领域:
- 土木工程 土木工程是指土木工程.
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
- 环境工程 环境工程
背景情况:
- 运河路线方案评估对于工程设计至关重要,影响成本和效益.
- 现有的方法在解决多属性决策挑战时可能缺乏全面性.
- 精确选择运河路线对于项目成功和资源优化至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为运河路线计划制定一个全面的评估系统.
- 加强运河工程的科学和客观决策过程.
- 为选择最佳运河路线提供可靠的技术支持工具.
主要方法:
- 构建了一个多层次的评估系统,包含四个标准层和20个指标.
- 使用三角模糊数字和Delphi方法的量化定性指标;规范化定量指标.
- 综合模糊的随机分析层次过程 (FSAHP) 和权方法用于权重.
- 开发了一个混合TOPSIS-GRA多属性决策模型.
主要成果:
- 综合权重方法有效地结合了主观和客观的方法.
- 在重量变化下,TOPSIS-GRA模型展示了强大而稳定的评估结果.
- 蒙特卡洛模拟证实了模型的抗干扰性和可靠性.
结论:
- 开发的综合评估系统为运河路线选择提供了科学和可靠的支持.
- 混合决策模型显著提高了计划评估的准确性和客观性.
- 这项研究为优化运河工程设计和规划提供了宝贵的工具.
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