哈萨克斯坦的系统性抗病毒消费
Yuliya Semenova1, Assiya Kussainova2, Laura Kassym2,3
1School of Medicine, Nazarbayev University, 53 Kabanbay Batyr Ave, Astana, 010000, Kazakhstan. yuliya.semenova@nu.edu.kz.
Scientific reports
|July 2, 2025
概括
哈萨克斯坦的系统性抗病毒消费 (SAC) 每年显著增加10.24%. 2020年后,抗疹,抗HBV/HCV和抗流感药物的使用量增加,社区部门的支出预计将增加.
科学领域:
- 药物经济学 药物经济学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 关于低收入和中等收入国家系统性抗病毒消费 (SAC) 的数据有限.
- 哈萨克斯坦的医疗保健系统背景要求对抗病毒药物使用进行具体分析.
研究的目的:
- 分析哈萨克斯坦七年来全国系统性抗病毒消费 (SAC) 趋势.
- 评估COVID-19大流行对SAC的影响.
- 预测未来的抗病毒支出模式,直到2030年.
主要方法:
- 使用每天1000名居民定义的每日剂量 (DDD/1000名居民/天) 方法.
- 应用时间序列分析到历史的SAC数据.
- 使用预测建模来预测未来的支出.
主要成果:
- 在研究期间,总SAC的年增长率为10.24%.
- 2020年后,消费量显著增加,特别是抗疹,抗HBV/HCV和抗流感药物.
- 未来的支出预测表明医院部门的稳定性,但社区部门的增加.
结论:
- 该研究强调了哈萨克斯坦境内SAC的日益增长趋势,特别是在COVID-19后.
- 调查结果强调需要制定战略公共卫生政策,并为抗病毒药物分配资源.
- 预计抗病毒支出将转移到社区部门,需要适应性规划.
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