对影响苏州地区临床血液需求的因素进行定量分析
Shuhong Xie1, Mingyuan Wang1, Longhai Tang2
1Division of Transfusion Medicine, Suzhou Blood Center, Shizhi Street 355, Suzhou, China.
Scientific reports
|July 2, 2025
概括
临床血液需求受到短期 (灾害,输血),中期 (资源,人口) 和长期 (环境) 因素的影响. 了解这些动态可以提高血液供应链的弹性和预测准确性.
科学领域:
- 医疗保健服务研究 医疗服务研究
- 供应链管理 供应链管理
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 维持充足的血液供应对于医疗保健系统至关重要.
- 临床血液需求受到复杂的多层次因素的影响.
- 预测准确性和供应链弹性对于血液服务至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 确定和量化影响中国苏州临床血液需求的因素.
- 开发一种层次模型,以了解对血液需求的时间影响.
- 提高血液供应链的预测准确性和弹性.
主要方法:
- 对422名使用德尔菲方法的输血医学专家进行调查 (2023年3月至4月).
- 探索性和确认性因子分析 (EFA/CFA) 构建一个层次结构模型.
- 对时间影响的分析,分为短期,中期和长期因素.
主要成果:
- 一个三层模型揭示了对血液需求的明显时间影响.
- 短期因素 (输血,灾难) 的直接影响最大 (0.682-0.899).
- 中期 (资源,人口) 和长期 (环境) 因素显示显著的间接影响.
结论:
- 对于短期,中期和长期的需求驱动因素,需要不同的监测策略.
- 该模型为大城市的适应性血液管理和精确预测提供了一个框架.
- 为了将该模型推广到不同的医疗保健基础设施,需要进一步验证.
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