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一个新的复合帕雷托模型,具有应用和可靠性,在风险分析时高于随机值的峰值
Mohammad Abiad1, M M Abd El-Raouf2, Haitham M Yousof3
1College of Business Administration, American University of the Middle East, Egaila, Kuwait.
Scientific reports
|July 2, 2025
概括
本研究引入了一种新的复合帕雷托分布来建模飞机风玻璃可靠性数据. 这种新的方法增强了极端价值风险建模,以提高产品的安全性和耐用性.
科学领域:
- 可靠性工程可靠性工程
- 统计建模 统计建模
- 极端价值理论 极端价值理论
背景情况:
- 飞机风玻璃的可靠性对于安全和寿命至关重要.
- 现有的模型可能无法充分捕捉双模和右倾故障数据.
- 极端价值分析对于理解产品性能限制至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 提出一种新的复合帕雷托分布,用于模拟飞机风玻璃数据.
- 通过模拟和真实世界的数据来评估拟议的分发的性能.
- 证明模型在可靠性分析和极端价值风险评估中的实用性.
主要方法:
- 使用一种新的复合帕雷托分布.
- 使用最大概率的方法来估计参数.
- 进行全面的模拟研究,以评估有限样本的性能.
- 应用峰值超过随机值风险 (PORT-VAR) 分析.
主要成果:
- 拟议的复合帕雷托分布有效地模拟双模和右倾飞机风玻璃数据.
- 模拟研究证实了参数估计器的性能.
- 该模型证明了对现实世界的可靠性数据集的实际应用.
- 波特-瓦尔分析提供了对极端故障事件的严格评估.
结论:
- 新的复合帕雷托分布是飞机风玻璃可靠性分析的合适工具.
- 拟议的方法增强了极端价值风险建模能力.
- 这种方法支持制造商优化设计和维护策略,以提高产品的耐用性和安全性.
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