在建筑项目中对值管理技术进行比较分析
Mohamed Elsaid1, Khaled Nassar1, Fahad K Alqahtani2
1Department of Construction Engineering, The American University in Cairo (AUC), New Cairo, Egypt.
Scientific reports
|July 2, 2025
概括
积累的时间表和积累的持续时间技术在建筑项目预测中提供了不同的准确性. 获得的时间表在早期表现出色,而获得的持续时间更适合后期阶段,指导项目经理.
科学领域:
- 建筑项目管理项目管理
- 获得价值管理 (EVM)
- 在建筑领域进行预测分析.
背景情况:
- 值技术对于建设项目监测和预测至关重要.
- 关于这些技术在不同项目类型和阶段的比较准确性的研究有限.
研究的目的:
- 评估预测准确度的取时间,取时间表,和计划价值的技术.
- 根据项目的进展情况,确定最有效的预测方法.
- 为在不同项目阶段选择合适的技术提供实际指导方针.
主要方法:
- 分析了包括30个建筑项目的多样化数据集.
- 取时间,取时间表和计划价值预测准确性的比较评估.
- 评估各种项目持续时间百分比的预测性绩效.
主要成果:
- 预计时间表在早期阶段预测项目完成时表现出卓越的准确性.
- 在建筑项目的后期阶段,Earned Duration对于准确的预测更可靠.
- 项目的类型和进展程度对预测方法的有效性有重大影响.
结论:
- 值技术的选择应根据项目的阶段和类型进行量身定制.
- 实施特定阶段预测方法可以提高项目结果的可预测性.
- 这项研究为优化建筑项目管理和预测提供了实际指导.
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