基于相似性的工程成本预测研究
1School of Architecture and Engineering, Fu Zhou Polytechnic, Fuzhou, 350108, Fujian, China.
Scientific reports
|July 2, 2025
概括
本研究引入了一种模糊相似性 (VS) 方法,用于准确预测建筑成本,克服快速报价过程中的局限性. 这种方法提高了预测准确性,并减少了工程项目的计算复杂性.
科学领域:
- 建设管理建设管理.
- 工程经济学 工程经济学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 建筑项目的快速报价流程往往受到不准确的成本预测和高计算复杂性的影响.
- 单位价格的不确定性受到季节,位置和市场状况等因素的影响,这是一个关键挑战,以报价价值区间的形式呈现.
研究的目的:
- 提出一种用于建筑成本预测的新方法,以解决快速报价中的不准确性和计算复杂性.
- 利用模糊相似性 (VS) 来处理建筑项目单位价格内在的不确定性.
主要方法:
- 一种转换技术将区间值 (表示不确定的单位价格) 转换为模糊值.
- 工程特征矩阵被转换为模糊矩阵进行分析.
- 模糊相似性 (VS) 用于识别与目标项目的特征密切匹配的参考项目.
主要成果:
- 该方法成功地识别了基于模糊相似性的类似参考项目.
- 预计的建设项目的单位成本是使用应用于确定类似项目的公式来预测的.
- 一个案例研究证明了实际应用,并验证了该方法的合理性.
结论:
- 拟议的模糊相似性 (VS) 方法为建筑成本预测提供了一种合理而有效的方法.
- 与传统的快速报价技术相比,这种方法提高了准确性并减少了计算复杂性.
- 将间隔数据转换为模糊值对于处理建筑中的价格不确定性至关重要.
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