探索社区公共空间与健康衰老之间的复杂关联:使用Catboost和SHAP进行可解释的分析
Man Zhang1, Tao Shen2, Ying Li2
1Shanghai Research Institute for Intelligent Autonomous Systems, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
BMC public health
|July 3, 2025
概括
社区公共空间 (CPS) 对老年人产生重大影响.
科学领域:
- 老年学与公共卫生
- 城市规划与环境健康
背景情况:
- 全球老龄化需要了解社区公共空间 (CPS) 以实现健康的老龄化.
- 现有的研究经常使用线性方法,忽视了CPS对老年人福祉的非线性和交互效应.
研究的目的:
- 调查CPS环境特征与老年人多重健康维度之间的非线性和交互性关联.
- 确定关键的CPS特征及其影响身体,精神和社会健康的相互作用.
主要方法:
- 分析了来自上海2,508名老年人的数据.
- 使用可解释的机器学习方法 (CatBoost和SHAP) 来检查13个CPS环境特征.
- 确定了CPS特征和健康结果之间的相关性和相互作用模式.
主要成果:
- 在目的地可访问性,公共交通,住宅密度和所有健康维度的步行基础设施之间发现了积极的关联.
- 交通复杂性和犯罪率显示出与健康有着一致的负面关联.
- SHAP相互作用分析强调了特征的协同组合,而不是孤立的特征,推动了健康益处.
结论:
- CPS特征显示了与老年人健康的多维和非线性关系.
- 研究结果支持基于证据的社区规划和干预措施,为老龄化人口创造支持健康的环境.
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