在宏观经济不确定性下的碳税收回收策略选择,基于低碳技术进步
Xianghao Yang1, Huijie Fan1, Xu Ye2
1School of Management, Shanghai University of Engineering Science, Shanghai, 201620, China.
Journal of environmental management
|July 5, 2025
概括
政府应根据低碳技术发展量身定制碳税退税策略. 收入补贴适用于早期或成熟的技术,而低碳补贴适用于商业化阶段.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
- 技术创新技术创新技术创新
背景情况:
- 碳税政策对于缓解气候变化至关重要.
- 需要有效的碳税回收策略来解决政策缺陷.
- 设计最佳的退款策略仍然是一个挑战.
研究的目的:
- 检查地方政府如何设计有效的碳税退税策略.
- 分析宏观经济不确定性和低碳技术发展对这些战略的影响.
- 为决策者提供有关碳税和收入回收战略的指导.
主要方法:
- 构建一个三方随机进化游戏模型 (地方政府,企业,居民).
- 使用Python来解决随机复制器动态方程.
- 在各种场景下模拟和可视化进化游戏结果.
主要成果:
- 低碳和收入补贴之间的选择取决于技术成熟度,发展速度和传播速度.
- 对于概念技术或市场主导技术,收入补贴是最受欢迎的.
- 低碳补贴更适合接近商业化技术.
结论:
- 地方政府的碳税回收策略必须适应低碳技术的具体发展阶段.
- 高进化率有利于低碳补贴,而高扩散率则暗示收入补贴.
- 调查结果为有效的碳税政策设计提供了理论和实践指导.
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