然后发生了一件奇迹:原因,效果和刑事司法研究的异质性
Brandon Del Pozo1, Steven Belenko2, Faye S Taxman3
1Division of General Internal Medicine, The Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Rhode Island Hospital, 111 Plain Street, Providence, RI 02903 USA.
Journal of experimental criminology
|July 7, 2025
概括
随机对照试验 (RCT) 在刑事司法研究中可能并没有固有的缺陷. 这项分析批评了RCT的元分析,建议对复杂的社会问题需要更严格的设计.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 刑事司法研究 刑事司法研究
- 研究方法研究方法研究方法学
背景情况:
- 梅根·斯蒂文森的2023年工作认为随机对照试验 (RCT) 由于社会世界的复杂性,在刑事司法中无效.
- 史蒂文森驳斥了RCT的"工程师观点",并主张采用不那么严格,更广泛的改革方法.
- 这篇批评考察了史蒂文森的论点,将其描述为对刑事司法RCT的启发式元分析.
研究的目的:
- 评估史蒂文森对刑事司法随机对照试验 (RCT) 的元分析的有效性.
- 为了证明史蒂文森的启发式分析违反了已建立的元分析协议,通过汇集异构的研究.
- 提出替代的,更全面的研究设计,以了解复杂的社会干预.
主要方法:
- 描述史蒂文森的论点作为事实上的,叙事格式的元分析.
- 在元分析中,分析禁止将具有异质设计,干预措施,结果和指标的研究组合在一起的禁令.
- 证明史蒂文森把多样化的研究汇集在一起,使她的经验性主张成为问题.
主要成果:
- 史蒂文森的元分析被认为是有问题的,因为它把异质的刑事司法RCT放在一起,违反了方法论标准.
- 虽然许多刑事司法RCT显示无效或弱的结果,复制是具有挑战性的,但这并不是该领域独有的.
- 较不严格的改革方法无法解决已确定的问题;需要更全面的设计.
结论:
- 史蒂文森的结论是,RCT本质上无法改变刑事司法,这一结论受到质疑.
- 提出了更严格的研究设计,例如从医学和公共卫生中调整的混合实施/有效性试验.
- 这些先进的方法可以揭示影响外部有效性和通用性的因素,有助于修改弹性人类行为.
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