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经济增长和自杀率:不同的累积效应
Dong-Wook Lee1, Yun-Chul Hong2, Je-Yeon Yun3,4
1Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Inha University Hospital, Inha University, Incheon, Republic of Korea.
PloS one
|July 7, 2025
概括
经济增长通常会降低自杀率,尤其是在较长的时间内. 然而,在高收入国家,快速的经济增长可能会增加自杀率,而经济停滞与低收入国家更高的自杀率有关.
科学领域:
- 全球健康 全球健康
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 经济增长通常与改善公共卫生结果有关.
- 经济增长与自杀率之间的确切关系是复杂的,需要进一步研究.
- 了解这些动态对于制定有效的自杀预防策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查全球经济增长与自杀率之间的关联.
- 探索这种关系在不同收入水平的国家之间如何变化.
- 分析短期与长期经济变化对自杀发生率的影响.
主要方法:
- 生态研究设计使用来自198个国家的数据 (1991-2021).
- 对年龄标准化自杀率和人均国内生产总值 (GDPpc) 的分析.
- 应用双向固定效应模型和复合年增长率分析.
主要成果:
- 国内生产总值 (GDPpc) 增长与自杀率之间存在显著的负相关性,尤其是在较长的时间内.
- 经济增长对自杀率的类似保护作用在中高收入国家,中低收入国家和低收入国家也被观察到.
- 在高收入国家,增加的自杀率与短期经济增长相关;长期经济停滞与低收入和中低收入国家更高的自杀率有关.
结论:
- 经济增长通常会对自杀产生保护作用,特别是在低收入国家和长期的经济增长.
- 矛盾的是,短期的经济扩张可能会增加高收入国家的自杀率.
- 与经济转变相关的社会环境压力因素需要在自杀预防政策中考虑.
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