从2015年到2030年,韩国感染引起的可预防癌症
Sungji Moon1,2,3,4, Jeoungbin Choi1, Soseul Sung1,2,5
1Department of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Journal of Korean medical science
|July 8, 2025
概括
预计韩国与感染相关的癌症将减少,其中Helicobacter pylori,乙型肝炎病毒 (HBV) 和人类乳头瘤病毒 (HPV) 的贡献很大. 公共卫生干预对于进一步降低癌症负担至关重要.
科学领域:
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 传染性疾病 传染性疾病
- 公共卫生政策 公共卫生政策
背景情况:
- 癌症预防政策需要了解感染相关癌症的负担.
- 估计与传染病原体相关的癌症人口可归因分数 (PAF) 对基于证据的政策至关重要.
- 这项研究评估了2015年至2030年的韩国感染相关癌症负担.
研究的目的:
- 系统地估计韩国感染相关癌症的负担.
- 为了计算由感染病原体引起的癌症的人口归因分数 (PAF).
- 预测到2030年与感染相关的癌症发病率和死亡率的趋势.
主要方法:
- 韩国队列研究的元分析和韩国研究的系统审查,以确定相对风险.
- 使用全国癌症统计数据 (2015-2020年) 计算可归因的癌症发病率和死亡率.
- 预测2025年和2030年的癌症负担,假设15年的潜伏期.
主要成果:
- 2015年,与感染有关的癌症占病例的13.18%,死亡的14.74%,到2020年将下降到10.70%和12.15%.
- 杆菌,乙型肝炎病毒 (HBV) 和人类乳头瘤病毒 (HPV) 是主要的传染病原体.
- 预计到2030年,PAF的发病率和死亡率将进一步下降.
结论:
- 预计2015年至2030年间,因传染病原体导致的癌症病例和死亡人数比例将下降.
- 建议针对H. pylori,HBV和HPV进行有针对性的干预,以减少整体癌症负担.
- 持续监测和公共卫生举措对于有效预防癌症至关重要.
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