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在线论的演变和缓解策略:使用改进的复制器动态三方游戏模型进行分析
Jiadong Chen1, Jie Xin2, Wan Ni1
1School of Journalism and Communication, Shandong University, Jinan, China.
PloS one
|July 8, 2025
概括
了解在线论危机是关键. 这项研究表明,政府和媒体干预的时间和强度显著影响了公众情绪的稳定速度,挑战了更强大,更早采取行动总是最好的想法.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 计算社会科学 计算社会科学
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
背景情况:
- 在线论对社会稳定,政策和机构信任产生重大影响.
- 公众论危机经常发生,需要对其动态和缓解进行研究.
研究的目的:
- 开发和分析在线论动态的三方进化游戏模型.
- 调查集团间和集团内部战略影响对意见趋同的影响.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个三方进化游戏模型 (政府,网民,媒体/KOL).
- 通过激励系数增强了传统的复制器动态.
- 进行模拟,分析不同激励结构下的战略演变和趋同.
主要成果:
- 激励结构极大地影响了意见趋同的速度和稳定性.
- 强烈的媒体压制迅速稳定了论 (3-5个时间步骤).
- 越来越多的政府镇压显示了回报的减少和对网民反应的和效应.
结论:
- 调整干预的时间和强度比简单的更早或更强的行动更有效.
- 网民的反应速度比机构参与者快,突出了对信息的敏感性.
- 有效的情绪缓解需要基于系统反的适应性策略.
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