在2024年风海伦和密尔顿期间的适应性移动响应
Qing Yao1, Victoria D Lynch1, Molei Liu2,3,4
1Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
|July 9, 2025
概括
人们根据过去的暴露情况不同地适应风期间的旅行. 经常受到风影响的沿海地区的流动性变化比内陆地区更为显著,这凸显了对量身定制的灾害计划的需要.
科学领域:
- 气候科学是气候科学.
- 灾害管理 灾害管理
- 人类移动性的研究研究.
背景情况:
- 气候变化加剧了热带气旋,增加了社会风险.
- 有效的适应策略对于减轻风影响至关重要.
- 了解灾难期间的人类行为对于准备至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析人类的流动模式,以应对热带气旋.
- 调查历史风暴露如何影响适应性移动性.
- 通过检查响应的区域差异,为灾难准备提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用来自移动设备的3.555亿个高分辨率步行记录.
- 在风Helene和Milton (2024) 期间分析了人类流动数据.
- 在不同风暴暴露水平的地理区域中比较移动响应.
主要成果:
- 密尔顿风 (沿海,高暴露) 导致登陆前旅行量大幅增加和灾后持续流动性.
- 风Helene (内陆,较低的暴露) 导致了适度的变化,变化范围内的移动性变化.
- 赫琳受影响地区的沿海县表现出比内陆县更强大的流动性反应.
结论:
- 人类适应风的移动性随着历史暴露而有很大差异.
- 应对灾害的准备和应对策略必须根据区域特点进行定制.
- 移动数据提供了对极端天气事件期间人口行为的洞察.
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