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温度变化如何影响风险态度:来自中国1708个农户家庭的证据
Yujie Xia1, Shuang Xu1, Hongpeng Guo1
1College of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, Jilin University, PR China.
The Science of the total environment
|July 9, 2025
概括
气候变化对农民的风险态度产生了重大影响. 较大的温度波动导致风险厌恶增加,年龄是关键因素.
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 气候变化对农业生产构成重大风险.
- 作为主要决策者,农民必须根据应对气候冲击而调整他们的战略.
- 了解农民不断变化的风险态度对于有效的适应至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查气候变化对农民风险态度的影响.
- 分析温度异常如何影响农业决策.
- 确定影响农民风险感知的人口因素.
主要方法:
- 对2018年中国家庭小组研究数据集的分析.
- 应用一个温度异常的方法.
- 使用固定效应模型来评估气候变化影响.
主要成果:
- 温度波动的大小和冒险倾向之间存在显著的相关性.
- 温度变化的增加与农民更高的风险厌恶有关.
- 年龄显著影响风险态度的转变;性别没有显著的影响.
结论:
- 气候变化显然改变了农民的风险态度,增加了他们的厌恶.
- 结果为气候适应性农业政策提供了理论基础.
- 制定有针对性的保险计划的建议可以从观察到的风险转移中得出.
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