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基于代理的建模能源消耗权交易的低碳转型在中国
Feng Han1, Xin Li2, Xiaohan Bi3
1Institute of Science and Technology for Development of Shandong, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Jinan, 250100, China. hanfeng@qlu.edu.cn.
Scientific reports
|July 9, 2025
概括
能源消费权交易 (ECRT) 有效地减少了能源使用和碳排放. 付费配额和高质量的发展场景进一步增强了这些环境效益,促进了绿色经济转型.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 中国面临着重大的能源和环境挑战.
- 以市场为导向的能源消费权分配 (ECRT) 是解决这些问题的制度创新.
- ECRT促进能源消费配额交易,以提高效率和促进可持续性.
研究的目的:
- 评估ECRT在减少能源消耗和碳排放方面的有效性.
- 为了比较付费与免费能源配额的影响.
- 评估高质量的发展场景对能源效率和碳减排的影响.
主要方法:
- 基于代理的建模被用来模拟企业,政府和交易平台之间的互动.
- 该模拟考虑了能源消耗和碳排放的双重限制.
- 在拥有和没有ECRT市场的地区之间进行了比较分析.
主要成果:
- 通过ECRT,总能耗减少了8.1%,碳排放减少了9.8%.
- 支付的配额导致了更大的削减 (7.9%的能源,6.8%的碳) 并稳定了价格.
- 高质量的发展场景提高了4.4%的能源效率,减少了5%的碳排放.
结论:
- 电力节约技术 (ECRT) 是一种可行的节能和减排机制.
- 付费配额和高质量的开发对于最大限度地发挥ECRT的好处至关重要.
- 优化ECRT机制对于推动绿色,低碳经济转型至关重要.
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