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关于Botrytis cinerea的人口分布的变化弗朗西斯·弗朗西斯·弗朗西斯·弗朗西斯·弗朗西斯是什么意思在中国的气候变化之下

Qianqian Qian¹, Zhihang Zhuo¹, Yaqin Peng¹

¹College of Life Science China West Normal University Nanchong China.

Ecology and evolution

|July 10, 2025

概括

使用MaxEnt模型预测了中国的灰色菌 (Botrytis cinerea) 的分布. 未来的气候变化可能会减少高度适合的地区,但增加适合这种植物病原体的中等区域.

科学领域:

农业科学农业科学
植物病理学植物病理学
生态生态学生态生态学

背景情况:

Botrytis cinerea会引起灰色菌,导致园艺和农业的全球经济损失显著.
了解B. cinerea的地理分布对于有效的疾病管理和作物保护至关重要.

研究的目的:

预测中国Botrytis cinerea的当前和未来潜在的地理分布.
确定影响B. cinerea分布的关键环境变量.
为生态保护和农业管理战略提供信息.

主要方法:

使用最大 (MaxEnt) 建模方法.
根据气候和环境数据预测当前和未来的潜在分布.
确定了影响分布的关键生物气候变量和高度.

主要成果:

目前在青海省甘德县确定了合适的配送中心.
非常适合的地区集中在中国的热带和亚热带地区.
未来的气候预测表明,高/低适合区域的减少,但中等适合区域的增加,在配送中心没有显著的转变.

结论:

环境变量如同热度,最潮湿/最干燥季度的温度,降雨季节性/最冷季度以及海拔高度对于B. cinerea的分布至关重要.
该研究提供了关于B. cinerea在气候变化下的分布模式变化的见解.
这些发现支持有针对性的农业管理和保护工作,以减轻灰的影响.

关键词:

这种植物是Botrytis cinerea.马克森特模型的模型.气候变化气候变化气候变化潜在的地理分布.

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