使用人工智能预测城市固体废物产生:一种混合方法,即分析和SHAP,以获得最佳的特征选择
Vahid Nourani1, Aida H Baghanam2, Elham Samadi2
1Center of Excellence in Hydroinformatics and Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Tabriz, 29 Bahman Ave, Tabriz, Iran; World Peace University, Sht. Kemal Ali Omer St. No:22 Yenisehir, Nicosia/TRNC, Mersin 10, Turkey.
Waste management (New York, N.Y.)
|July 10, 2025
概括
这项研究使用混合人工智能模型增强了城市固体废物 (MSW) 生产预测. MI-SHAP特征选择方法通过识别人口和收入等关键因素,提高了准确性.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
- 城市规划 城市规划
背景情况:
- 城市固体废物 (MSW) 管理是一个关键的城市挑战.
- 准确的废物产生预测对于有效的MSW管理至关重要.
- 现有的预测模型在识别关键影响因素时往往缺乏准确性.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证混合人工智能 (AI) 方法,以改善MSW产生的预测.
- 整合相互信息 (MI) 和沙普利增量解释 (SHAP) 进行高级特征选择.
- 识别影响MSW产生的主导因素在不同的城市环境.
主要方法:
- 采用混合特征选择方法,将相互信息 (MI) 和沙普利增量解释 (SHAP) 结合起来.
- 利用Feed Forward神经网络 (FFNN) 和长期短期记忆 (LSTM) 模型进行预测.
- 将方法应用于奥斯 (美国),巴拉拉特 (澳大利亚) 和Boralesgamuwa (斯里兰卡) 的气象和社会经济数据.
主要成果:
- MI-SHAP方法有效地确定了关键预测因素:人口,收入,消费者价格指数 (CPI) 和落后的MSW变量 (5,10,20天).
- 在奥斯 (训练DC:0.7226,测试DC:0.6529) 和巴拉拉特 (训练DC:0.7037,测试DC:0.6941) 的FFNN模型表现良好.
- 在Boralesgamuwa的数据限制导致模型性能差,强调了数据质量的重要性.
结论:
- 混合MI-SHAP方法通过捕捉复杂的变量关系来提高MSW预测的准确性.
- 该研究强调了数据质量和社会经济稳定对模型性能的影响.
- 该方法为全球开发数据驱动,可持续的MSW管理策略提供了一条途径.
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