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在环境影响分析中考虑气候因素 美国联邦公共土地的环境影响分析
Sarah E Whipple1, Sarah K Carter2, Tait K Rutherford2
1U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), Fort Collins Science Center, 2150 Centre Ave. Bldg. C, Fort Collins, CO, USA. swhipple@usgs.gov.
Environmental management
|July 11, 2025
概括
联邦土地管理者很少考虑气候变化对拟议行动或资源的影响,尽管有指导方针. 科学家有机会改善气候数据在环境评估中的整合,以改善公共土地管理.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
- 公共土地管理 公共土地管理
背景情况:
- 联邦公共土地面临着气候变化的影响,如干旱和野火.
- 国家环境政策法案 (NEPA) 分析指导这些土地的决策.
- 气候变化考虑在NEPA分析中越来越重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估目前土地管理局 (BLM) 环境评估 (EA) 中气候变化如何得到解决.
- 确定EAs对拟议的行动和资源考虑气候变化影响的程度.
- 在BLM EAs中确定气候数据和科学的使用.
主要方法:
- 从2021-2023年对130个BLM EAs的随机样本进行分析.
- 评估关于拟议行动的气候考虑因素,对行动的气候影响和对资源的影响.
- 自动关键字搜索和文档分析,以识别气候数据和引用的来源.
主要成果:
- 只有37%的EAs考虑了拟议的行动对气候的影响;8%考虑了气候对行动的影响.
- 只有4%的资源分析纳入了气候变化对资源的影响.
- "石油和天然气开发"",可再生能源"和"林业"的EAs最常包括气候考虑因素.
结论:
- 在BLM环境评估中,考虑气候变化影响存在重大差距.
- 科学家和土地管理者之间的合作对于将气候科学纳入决策至关重要.
- 需要改进科学交付机制,以便在NEPA分析中使用气候数据.
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