基于源路接收器的大规模时空风险评估方法:对有色金属工业场所的30年实例研究
Chuanghong Su1,2,3, Yong Yang1,2,3, Mei Lei4
1College of Resources and Environment, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China.
Environmental science & technology
|July 11, 2025
概括
这项研究开发了一种新的方法来评估有色金属工业场所的时间和空间风险. 风险水平波动,在2010年达到顶峰,受到污染控制和工业活动的影响.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 风险评估 风险评估
- 空间分析 空间分析
背景情况:
- 现有的风险评估方法与大规模的长期趋势分析作斗争.
- 非铁金属工业场所带来了重大的环境风险.
- 评估时空风险动态对于有效的污染管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和应用一个综合的方法来进行全面的时空风险评估.
- 从1990年到2020年,量化中国有色金属工业场所的风险趋势.
- 分析影响时空风险变化的因素,评估污染控制的有效性.
主要方法:
- 分析层次过程 (AHP) 模型,多标准决策分析 (MCDA) 和空间分析的整合.
- 进行了危害,脆弱性和风险因素分析.
- 空间时间量化非铁金属工业场所的风险.
主要成果:
- 潜在风险显示非线性变化:13.49% (1990年),16.41% (2000年),23.17% (2010年) 和19.06% (2020年).
- 空间分布从分散演变为集中,在大多数地区的风险一般较低.
- 风险变化受到炼/采矿 (来源),风/流水 (路径) 和社会经济因素 (受体) 的显著影响.
结论:
- 综合方法为大规模的长期风险评估提供了坚实的框架.
- 了解时空风险动态对于有针对性的环境管理至关重要.
- 该方法有助于决策者识别高风险区域并了解风险演变模式.
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