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最低限度的气和碳供应链去碳化 欧洲工业用的需求
Alissa Ganter1, Paolo Gabrielli1, Hanne Goericke1,2
1Institute of Energy and Process Engineering, Zürich 8092, Switzerland.
建设低碳气基础设施需要可扩展的生产和灵活的战略来管理需求和生物质的不确定性. 对二氧化碳基础设施的投资对于实现气候目标至关重要.
科学领域:
- 能源系统工程 能源系统工程
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 工业化学 工业化学 工业化学
背景情况:
- 低碳 (H2) 对于欧洲难以减排的工业脱碳至关重要.
- 发展强大的供应链 (HSC) 基础设施对于广泛采用H2至关重要.
- 对H2需求和生物质可用性的不确定性对高温电池基础设施规划构成重大挑战.
研究的目的:
- 调查H2需求和生物质可用性的不确定性对最佳HSC设计的影响.
- 确定支持HSC基础设施发展的最少后悔策略.
- 为低碳气经济做出政策和投资决策提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用线性优化模型来实现成本最佳的HSC设计.
- 纳入区域空间分辨率和多年时间视界 (2022-2050).
- 采用基于场景的方法来分析不确定性并推导出强有力的战略.
主要成果:
- 可扩展的2生产能力 (到2030年10万/年) 建议进行灵活扩展,以满足到2050年达到35万/年的需求.
- 虽然基于生物质的H2具有成本效益,但集成碳捕获和储存 (CCS) 或电解提供了更大的灵活性.
- 对二氧化碳基础设施的投资对于实现2050年气候目标至关重要.
结论:
- 对可扩展的2生产和灵活技术的战略投资是应对需求和生物质不确定性的关键.
- 为了实现具有成本效益的脱碳化,需要对高碳化,二氧化碳和生物质基础设施进行共同优化.
- 强大的二氧化碳基础设施是实现工业低碳的全部潜力的先决条件.
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