使用贝叶斯优化随机森林模型预测loess倒塌系数
Wan Zhang1, Jiangtao Guo1, Zhaopeng Li1
1College of Architecture Engineering, Yangling Vocational & Technical College, Yangling, 712100, Shaanxi, China.
Scientific reports
|July 12, 2025
概括
预测loess的折叠系数对于工程安全至关重要. 这项研究使用贝叶斯优化和机器学习,发现随机森林模型准确地预测了loess可折叠性.
科学领域:
- 地质技术工程 地质技术工程
- 地球科学 地球科学 地球科学
- 计算科学 计算科学
背景情况:
- 精确预测loess的倒塌系数对于减轻工程危险和了解环境影响至关重要.
- 确定可折叠系数的传统方法效率低下,需要大量的时间,劳动力和资源.
- 机器学习方法显示出预测loess可折叠性的前景,但超参数优化一直是有限的.
研究的目的:
- 为了全面优化机器学习模型的超参数,使用贝叶斯优化预测loess可折叠性.
- 评估和比较六种不同的回归模型在培训和独立测试数据集上的性能.
- 确定一个强大的,可靠的机器学习模型,用于准确的洛斯可折叠性预测.
主要方法:
- 采用贝叶斯优化来微调六种不同的回归模型的超参数.
- 在训练和独立测试集上使用R2值评估模型性能.
- 利用基于随机森林的模型作为预测的主要候选人.
主要成果:
- 基于随机森林的模型表现出卓越的性能,在训练组中达到0.915的R2值,在独立测试组中达到0.965.
- 与之前的研究相比,贝叶斯优化显著改善了超参数调整.
- 开发的模型在预测loess的折叠系数方面显示出高可靠性.
结论:
- 随机森林模型,优化与贝叶斯的技术,提供了一个可靠和准确的方法来预测loess崩性.
- 这种机器学习方法提供了比传统方法更有效的替代方法来评估的折叠性.
- 这些发现有助于改进易发生损害的工程项目的危险减轻策略.
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