与工艺相关的温室气体排放持续增长破坏了中国的减排努力
Yunan Peng1,2, Mengyao Han3, Na Liu1
1School of Management, China Institute for Studies in Energy Policy, Xiamen University, Fujian 361005, China.
iScience
|July 14, 2025
概括
来自工业过程的温室气体 (GHG) 排放是由消费和收入驱动的,但被排放强度的改善所抵消. 了解这些经济驱动因素是中国有效的气候减缓政策的关键.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
背景情况:
- 工业过程相关的温室气体 (GHG) 排放大大导致气候变化.
- 现有的排放库存主要集中在生产上,需要从消费和收入角度进行分析.
- 解决难以减少的工业排放对于全球气候目标至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 确定和分析中国工业过程相关温室气体排放的主要经济驱动因素.
- 区分这些排放的驱动和抵消因素.
- 为制定有针对性的减缓气候变化的战略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 工业过程相关温室气体排放的分解分析.
- 检查包括人均消费,收入,排放强度和中间产品结构在内的因素.
- 针对主要工业产品的产品特定分析,如,石灰,氨和粗钢.
主要成果:
- 人均消费和收入被确定为工业过程相关温室气体排放的主要驱动因素.
- 排放强度的改善和中间产品结构的转变作为显著的抵消因素.
- 排放强度的变化是关键产品 (如,石灰,氨和粗钢) 的主要抵消因素.
结论:
- 中国工业过程相关的温室气体减排受到宏观经济条件,经济结构和技术进步的影响.
- 对经济驱动因素的全面理解对于设计具有成本效益的气候政策至关重要.
- 将重点从生产转移到消费和收入,对于准确的排放评估和减缓计划至关重要.
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