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在全国代表的日本人口中,从213,924个计步器数据中获得时间趋势和预计每日步数
Hiroyuki Kikuchi1, Noritoshi Fukushima1, Shiho Amagasa
1Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Tokyo Medical University, Tokyo, JAPAN.
Medicine and science in sports and exercise
|July 15, 2025
概括
日本成年人越来越少走路,在女性中观察到显著下降. 预计2032年的步骤计数表明,国家体育活动目标可能很难实现,特别是对于女性来说.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 身体活动研究 身体活动研究
背景情况:
- 身体活动对公共健康至关重要.
- 监测人口层面的体育活动趋势对于有效的卫生政策至关重要.
- 日本通过健康日本21 (HJ21) 制定了国家体育活动目标.
研究的目的:
- 分析1995年至2019年日本人口每日步数的趋势.
- 预测未来的2032年每日步骤计数.
- 评估实现HJ21体育活动目标的可行性.
主要方法:
- 分析了213,924名参与者 (1995-2019) 的基于步计的个人每日步数数据.
- 计算年龄调整后的平均每日步数.
- 应用线性回归模型的预测,分层按年龄和性别.
主要成果:
- 自2000年以来,观察到平均每日步数的持续下降.
- 预计2032年的每日步数从4620到7499之间,根据年龄和性别而异.
- 在20-64岁的女性中,出现了显著的下降.
- 预计的步数不足以达到HJ21的目标,特别是对于女性来说.
结论:
- 日本的每日步数显示出长期下降的趋势,女性的步数显著下降.
- 根据预测趋势,实现新的HJ21步数目标似乎具有挑战性.
- 公共卫生战略必须专注于促进体育活动,特别是在女性中.
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