负面的新闻曝光不会影响风险或模两可的厌恶
Luis S Garcia Campos1, Karolina M Lempert1
1Gordon F. Derner School of Psychology, Adelphi University, Garden City, NY, United States.
对负面新闻的曝光增加了负面影响,但没有改变风险或模两可的厌恶. 这些发现表明,偶然的负面影响不会影响不确定性下的决策,除非错误地归因于选择本身.
科学领域:
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 不确定性下的决策涉及风险 (已知的概率) 或模糊性 (未知的概率).
- 在之前的研究中,负面影响与增加的风险和对模两可的厌恶有关.
- 现实的负面刺激,如新闻报道,对这些厌恶的影响是不太了解的.
研究的目的:
- 研究暴露于负面新闻对风险和模两可的厌恶的影响.
- 确定新闻报道引起的负面影响是否会在不确定性下改变决策.
主要方法:
- 两项预先注册的研究与大学生和多产参与者进行.
- 参与者被随机分配观看负面新闻视频或中立新闻视频.
- 通过一个任务来评估决策,该任务涉及在某些奖励和不同程度的风险和模糊性的博之间做出选择.
主要成果:
- 与对照组相比,接触负面新闻的参与者报告了负面影响的增加.
- 在负面新闻和中立新闻群体之间没有观察到风险厌恶或模糊性厌恶的显著差异.
- 偶然的负面影响没有影响风险或模两可的选择之间的选择.
结论:
- 暴露于负面新闻,尽管引起了负面影响,但并没有改变风险或模两可的厌恶.
- 偶然的负面影响可能不会影响不确定性下的决策,除非它被错误地归因于选择本身.
- 需要进一步的研究来了解负面影响影响决策的条件.
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