在冰的土壤地区协调发展的生态安全模式 - - 通过将气候变化和发展目标结合起来构建框架
Xiangdong Xu1, Xu Yang2, Lin Lin2
1School of Geographical Sciences, Harbin Normal University, Harbin, 150025, China.
Journal of environmental management
|July 15, 2025
概括
本研究为结土壤地区开发了一个协调的生态安全模式 (ESP) 框架,为黑龙江省提出了一个最佳的"一个环,三个走廊和四个核心"模式,以平衡发展和生态保护.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 地理 地理 地理 地理.
背景情况:
- 生态系统因全球变暖和人类活动而面临退化.
- 生态安全模式 (ESP) 对于生态系统保护至关重要.
- 现有的ESP研究缺乏跨多个指标的协调评估.
研究的目的:
- 提出一个新的框架,用于在冰的土壤地区构建协调的ESP.
- 将这个框架应用于黑龙江省,整合多种模型.
- 确定一个最佳的ESP模式,平衡生态安全和区域发展.
主要方法:
- 整合多重标准综合分析 (MCCA),最小运行模式 (MOP),InVEST和最小累积电阻 (MCR) 模型.
- 在不同的发展场景下,对2035年的土地利用变化模拟.
- 评估生态系统服务价值,包括碳储存,息地质量,作物生产,水产和土壤保护.
- 在各种场景下识别和分析生态源和走廊.
主要成果:
- 预计到2035年,黑龙江省的土地利用将稳定,以耕地和林地为主.
- 生态系统服务价值显示出一致的"低-高-低"分布,除了经济优先发展 (EPD) 情景下的水产和土壤保护外,变化最小.
- 冰土壤保护 (FSP) 场景产生了最优的生态来源和走廊,这表明它最能确保生态安全,尽管EPD场景具有最广泛的空间范围.
结论:
- 一个协调的ESP框架对于冷土壤地区的生态系统管理至关重要.
- 拟议的"一个环,三个走廊和四个核心"模式为黑龙江省提供了最佳的方法.
- 这项研究为协调类似环境中的区域发展和生态安全提供了有价值的框架.
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