全球木材燃料产量估计和影响
E Ashley Steel1, Oliver Stoner2,3, Harry Podschwit2
1Forestry Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, Italy. Ashley.Steel@FAO.org.
Nature communications
|July 15, 2025
概括
全球木材燃料的消耗量和木炭的生产量明显高于此前的估计. 这些关于可持续发展和森林管理的最新数据对于准确的全球跟踪和未来能源获取模型至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 林业 林业 林业 林业 林业
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 准确的全球木材燃料生产数据对于可持续发展,森林管理和能源获取至关重要.
- 目前关于木材燃料提取和木炭生产的估计往往是不可靠的,阻碍了实现全球目标的进展.
- 需要改进的方法来准确量化木材燃料资源.
研究的目的:
- 开发和应用统计模型,以便更准确地估计木材燃料的消耗和木炭的生产.
- 综合现有知识使用机械,概念模型来告知统计建模.
- 提供2019年的最新数据,以更好地了解全球木材燃料动态.
主要方法:
- 开发统计模型,将官方统计数据与2000多个新识别的数据点整合在一起.
- 利用一种机械,概念模型来综合现有的对木材燃料生产的理解.
- 分析了数据,以估计2019年全球木材燃料提取量和木炭生产量.
主要成果:
- 2019年全球木材燃料的消耗量估计为2.525.7亿立方米 (约合3.5亿立方米). 比以前的估计高出30%).
- 区域估计显示,非洲 (+50%) 和亚洲 (+40%) 的增长显著,美洲 (-10%) 和欧洲 (-20%) 的下降.
- 全球木炭产量估计为7050万 (约合70.5亿). 在非洲 (+20%) 和亚洲 (+200%) 显著增加.
结论:
- 更新的估计显示,全球木材燃料的采用量和木炭的生产量明显高于以前的理解.
- 这些发现需要对目前对森林部门在可持续发展和能源方面的作用的评估进行修订.
- 改进的数据将增强全球模型,用于预测木材燃料资源和消费的未来趋势.
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