预测南极上冰川融化湖的平均深度和面积分数,使用基于物理的参数化
Danielle Grau1, Azeez Hussain2, Alexander A Robel3
1School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, 311 Ferst Dr., Atlanta, GA, USA. dgrau7@gatech.edu.
南极冰架上的超冰期融化湖泊不太可能超过1米深或覆盖40%的面积. 这项研究使用冰盖表面粗度和水流模拟来模拟湖泊动态.
科学领域:
- 冰川学的冰川学
- 气候建模气候模型
- 遥感 遥感 遥感 遥感
背景情况:
- 超冰川融化湖对极地冰盖的演变至关重要,但在当前的气候模型中是缺失的.
- 了解融化湖的动态对于预测冰盖的行为至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发超冰川融化湖面积分数和深度的参数化.
- 将冰盖表面粗度整合到融化湖模型中.
- 预测南极冰架上超冰期湖泊的平均特征.
主要方法:
- 利用ICESat-2卫星的地表高度数据分析南极冰盖的表面粗度.
- 表面粗度的特征是自相似的.
- 通过在随机的,自相似的表面上统计地安装大量的水流模拟集合来开发数学表达式.
主要成果:
- 冰盖表面的粗度被发现在很大程度上是自我精致的.
- 开发了平均超冰川融化湖面积分数和深度的参数化.
- 预测显示了与观察结果的总体一致性,但存在一些差异.
结论:
- 南极冰架大部分地区的超冰川湖泊预计将保持浅度 (平均深度<1米),覆盖面积有限 (平均深度<40%).
- 这些预测取决于稳定的冰架表面粗度.
- 这项研究为将融湖动态纳入更大的气候和冰盖模型提供了基础.
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