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全球口腔疾病负担与未来30年的预测

Lingjun Yan¹, Bingqin Xie², Yanfen Li³

¹Department of Neurosurgery, Neurosurgery Research Institute, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.

Journal of periodontology

|July 17, 2025

概括

到2021年,全球口腔疾病影响了37.4亿人,牙周病和牙周病症显著增加. 预测显示这种病例的持续增加,强调需要改善口腔卫生和获得医疗保健,以应对这一公共卫生挑战.

科学领域:

全球健康全球健康
流行病学流行病学
牙科公共卫生公共卫生

背景情况:

口腔疾病是一个显著且日益增长的全球健康负担.
了解长期趋势和未来预测对于公共卫生规划至关重要.

研究的目的:

评估从1990年到2021年口腔疾病的全球,区域和国家负担.
预测口腔疾病的未来30年的发展轨迹.

主要方法:

利用2021年全球疾病负担 (GBD) 的数据来计算发病率,流行率和经残疾调整的寿命年 (DALY).
员工百分比变化以估计趋势和Nordpred模型 (年龄期队列分析) 用于未来预测.

主要成果:

到2021年,口腔疾病发生率达到3740亿例,增长35.54%.
牙周病发病率上升了76.32% (89.6万例),牙周病发病率上升了93.56% (26.5万例).
在热带拉丁美洲和东南亚观察到更高的年龄标准化发病率 (ASIR);根据牙类型,牙损伤的趋势有所不同.

结论:

口腔疾病,特别是牙周病的负担日益增加,这对公众健康构成了重大挑战.
糟糕的口腔卫生和获得医疗保健的差异是潜在的促成因素.
有针对性的预防,社区教育和研究人员和政策制定者之间的协作努力是必不可少的.

关键词:

牙腐烂是指牙的腐烂.口腔疾病口腔疾病牙周疾病牙周疾病

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