使用数据挖掘技术预测医院再接收率
Mohammad Amiri-Ara1, Amiri Gheydani1, Maryam Yaghoubi1
1Health Management Research Center, Baqiyatallah University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Hospital topics
|July 18, 2025
概括
预测患者再接收风险对于医疗保健至关重要. 数据挖掘技术确定了出院类型,停留时间和药物作为影响再接收率的关键因素.
科学领域:
- 医疗信息学 医疗信息学
- 在医疗保健中的数据挖掘.
- 预测分析是一种预测分析.
背景情况:
- 医院住院费用的上升和患者再接收的增加使医疗保健资源受到压力.
- 有效预测再接收风险对于优化患者护理和医院服务至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 使用数据挖掘技术预测患者再接收风险.
- 确定导致大型子专科医院再入院的关键因素.
主要方法:
- 使用CRISP-DM方法的回顾性队列研究.
- 从2018年8月到2019年8月,分析了47892份电子医疗记录.
- 神经网络和C5决策树算法的应用,用于模式提取和预测.
主要成果:
- 神经网络模型确定了出院类型 (0.28),住院病房 (0.21) 和住院时间 (0.16) 作为重要的预测因素.
- 作为影响因素,C5决策树强调了停留时间 (0.12),药物数量 (0.11) 和出院类型 (0.10).
- 总体再接收率为11.95%,模型在预测中达到61.2%的准确性.
结论:
- 退院类型,住院科,住院时间和药物数量是患者再入院的关键因素.
- 数据挖掘模型为重新接收风险因素提供了宝贵的见解.
- 实施数据挖掘用于再接收预测可以增强医疗保健决策和资源分配.
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