风险和模两可的决策的数据集使用一个新的链接彩色彩票任务跨越两个研究
James B Wyngaarden1, Yi Yang1, Jeffrey B Dennison2
1Temple University, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Data in brief
|July 21, 2025
概括
这项研究引入了一项新的任务,探讨在模两可的情况下做出决策,超越简单的最佳情况和最坏情况. 它可以更深入地了解个人信仰如何在不确定的情况下影响选择.
科学领域:
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 神经科学是一个神经科学.
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 模两可的决策与诸如衰老,物质使用和自闭症谱系障碍等临床条件有关.
- 现有的模型,如最大-最小模型,往往忽视了个人对概率的信念的影响.
- 一个全面的理解需要考虑主观信念如何在不确定的环境中塑造选择.
研究的目的:
- 引入和验证一个新的任务,链接彩色彩票任务,用于评估在模两可的情况下的决策.
- 为了分析个人对概率的信念如何影响决策行为.
- 为探索个人差异和不确定性之间的相互作用提供数据集.
主要方法:
- 开发和实施链接彩色彩票任务.
- 从面对面 (N=53) 和在线 (N=300) 样本收集数据.
- 将人口统计,人格和临床问卷数据与任务绩效一起纳入.
主要成果:
- 这项新任务允许研究决策超出了传统的最大最小假设.
- 该数据集可以研究个人概率信念如何影响模两可的情况中的选择.
- 初步发现表明,该任务在捕捉微妙的决策过程方面是有效的.
结论:
- 链接彩色彩票任务为研究模两可的决策提供了一个有价值的工具.
- 整合个人的概率信念提供了对选择行为更丰富的理解.
- 这项研究推进了关于不确定性和决策的理论和应用视角.
相关概念视频
Decision Making: Traditional Method
4.2K
The process of hypothesis testing based on the traditional method includes calculating the critical value, testing the value of the test statistic using the sample data, and interpreting these values.
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is decided based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to this claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses, out of which a null hypothesis would be a...
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is decided based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to this claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses, out of which a null hypothesis would be a...
4.2K
Decision Making
234
Decision-making is a fundamental cognitive process that involves evaluating alternatives and selecting among them. This process can range from simple choices, such as deciding what to wear, to complex decisions, like choosing a major in college or a career path. The complexity of the decision often dictates the approach we use, which can be broadly categorized into two types: automatic and controlled decision-making.
Automatic decision-making is fast, intuitive, and relies on gut feelings...
Automatic decision-making is fast, intuitive, and relies on gut feelings...
234
Decision Making: P-value Method
5.7K
The process of hypothesis testing based on the P-value method includes calculating the P- value using the sample data and interpreting it.
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is proposed. The claim is based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to the claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses: a null hypothesis would be a neutral statement while the alternative hypothesis can...
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is proposed. The claim is based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to the claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses: a null hypothesis would be a neutral statement while the alternative hypothesis can...
5.7K
Randomized Experiments
7.2K
The randomization process involves assigning study participants randomly to experimental or control groups based on their probability of being equally assigned. Randomization is meant to eliminate selection bias and balance known and unknown confounding factors so that the control group is similar to the treatment group as much as possible. A computer program and a random number generator can be used to assign participants to groups in a way that minimizes bias.
Simple randomization
Simple...
Simple randomization
Simple...
7.2K
Bias
5.0K
Bias refers to any tendency that prevents a question from being considered unprejudiced. In research, bias occurs when one outcome or answer is selected or encouraged over others in sampling or testing. Bias can occur during any research phase, including study design, data collection, analysis, and publication.
In statistics, a sampling bias is created when a sample is collected from a population, and some members of the population are not as likely to be chosen as others (remember, each member...
In statistics, a sampling bias is created when a sample is collected from a population, and some members of the population are not as likely to be chosen as others (remember, each member...
5.0K
Contingency Table
2.6K
A contingency table provides a way of portraying data that can facilitate calculating probabilities. It is a method of displaying a frequency distribution as a table with rows and columns to show how two variables may be dependent (contingent) upon each other; The table helps determine conditional probabilities quite quickly and can help systematically organize, analyze and quantify data. The table displays sample values concerning two variables that may be dependent or contingent on one...
2.6K


