评估农村地区韩国公民部队的应灾能力:一个系统动态-GIS方法
Jaejoon Lee1, Moon-Soo Song2,3, Jinsang Hwang4
1Department of Fire Safety Engineering, Jeonju University, Jeonju-si, Jeollabuk-do, South Korea.
iScience
|July 21, 2025
概括
加强在灾害中积极参与的公民队伍 (CAIND) 显著减少了农村灾害的脆弱性. 加强CAIND的使用
科学领域:
- 灾害管理 灾害管理
- 农村的复原力 农村的复原力
- 公共卫生准备情况 公共卫生准备情况
背景情况:
- 农村地区灾难复杂性和伤亡人数的增加需要强有力的应对机制.
- 在灾难中活跃的公民队 (CAIND) 是一个关键的,但往往不发达的,脆弱地区的灾难响应资产.
研究的目的:
- 量化评估农村灾害的脆弱性,与CAIND的能力相比.
- 评估CAIND对应灾难能力增强措施的有效性.
主要方法:
- 在四种干预场景 (100%,120%,140%,160%) 下,使用蒙特卡洛模拟进行系统动态建模.
- 定量脆弱性评估和改善措施有效性的分析.
- 地理信息系统 (GIS) 用于结果可视化.
主要成果:
- 基线平均脆弱性为0.132.2.
- 增强场景显示,脆弱性减少到0.126 (4.55%的改善),0.120 (9.09%的改善) 和0.117 (11.36%的改善).
- 增加CAIND能力直接与农村灾害脆弱性降低相关.
结论:
- 加强CAIND的能力是提高农村地区灾害应对效率的重要策略.
- 政策制定者,社区领导人和研究人员之间的协作努力对于在脆弱地区制定有效的灾害管理战略至关重要.
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