儿童对当前和未来事件的可能结果的推理
Esra Nur Turan-Küçük1, Melissa M Kibbe2
1Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, Boston University.
Developmental psychology
|July 21, 2025
概括
3-4岁的孩子也可以以同样的方式应对不确定性,无论是考虑未来的事件还是目前的未知结果. 这表明,在不同时间点对可能性的推理在幼儿时代同时发展.
科学领域:
- 认知发展 认知发展
- 发展心理学 发展心理学
- 决策 - 决策 - 决策 - 决策
背景情况:
- 人们经常根据不确定的未来或当前结果做出决定.
- 了解儿童如何处理时间不确定性对于发展心理学至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查小孩子 (3岁和4岁) 对可能性的推理能力在当前和未来不确定的事件之间是否有所不同.
- 测试关于儿童导航时间不确定性的发展假设.
主要方法:
- 研究人员对192名美国3岁和4岁儿童进行了两项实验.
- 孩子们为事件的两个相互排斥的结果做好准备,无论是在未来还是现在,结果是未知的.
- 任务涉及对象位置 (实验1) 和身份 (实验2) 的推理.
主要成果:
- 复制了儿童对未来可能性的推理表现.
- 没有发现儿童在今天和未来对可能的结果进行推理的能力有显著差异.
- 在目前和未来的条件下,成功率是可比的.
结论:
- 跨越不同时间点的不确定性导航能力似乎在童年早期同步发展.
- 这些发现挑战了对于当前和未来不确定性推理的不同发展轨迹的概念.
- 时间推理能力的早期发展可以整合.
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