提高加密货币投资组合绩效的两阶段框架:将可信度CVaR标准与一种新的资产预选择方法相结合
Hossein Ghanbari1, Sina Tavakoli1, Mostafa Shabani1
1Department of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran.
PloS one
|July 21, 2025
概括
本研究介绍了加密货币投资组合优化的两阶段框架,将资产预选与可信的有条件风险价值 (CVaR) 模型相结合. 这种方法有效地管理投资不确定性,并提高投资组合业绩.
科学领域:
- 金融和投资管理 金融和投资管理
- 量化金融 量化金融
- 风险管理 风险管理
背景情况:
- 加密货币市场提供高回报,但涉及显著的波动性和监管风险.
- 传统的投资组合优化模型与市场不确定性作斗争.
- 有效的加密货币投资需要强大的资产选择和风险管理策略.
研究的目的:
- 为提高加密货币投资组合绩效制定一个两阶段框架.
- 整合可信度理论和有条件风险价值 (CVaR) 进行不确定性管理.
- 引入使用多属性决策 (MADM) 方法的新型资产预选过程.
主要方法:
- 一个两阶段的框架,结合资产预选和投资组合优化.
- 第1阶段:使用多属性决策 (MADM) 标准进行资产预选.
- 第2阶段:使用具有可信度的CVaR模型进行投资组合优化.
主要成果:
- 拟议的框架有效地解决了资产预选挑战和加密货币市场的不确定性.
- 在构建多元化和高效的加密货币投资组合方面表现出有效性.
- 整合MADM和可信CVaR可以提高投资策略的稳定性.
结论:
- 这两个阶段的框架为加密货币投资组合优化提供了一个系统的方法.
- 这种方法改善了波动性加密货币市场的风险管理和回报潜力.
- 为投资者提供了一种结构化的方式来应对加密货币投资的复杂性和不确定性.
相关概念视频
Decision Making: P-value Method
5.7K
The process of hypothesis testing based on the P-value method includes calculating the P- value using the sample data and interpreting it.
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is proposed. The claim is based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to the claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses: a null hypothesis would be a neutral statement while the alternative hypothesis can...
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is proposed. The claim is based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to the claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses: a null hypothesis would be a neutral statement while the alternative hypothesis can...
5.7K
Quantifying and Rejecting Outliers: The Grubbs Test
2.1K
Sometimes, a data set can have a recorded numerical observation that greatly deviates from the rest of the data. Assuming that the data is normally distributed, a statistical method called the Grubbs test can be used to determine whether the observation is truly an outlier. To perform a two-tailed Grubbs test, first, calculate the absolute difference between the outlier and the mean. Then, calculate the ratio between this difference and the standard deviation of the sample. This...
2.1K
Confidence Coefficient
7.9K
The confidence coefficient is also known as the confidence level or degree of confidence. It is the percent expression for the probability, 1-α, that the confidence interval contains the true population parameter assuming that the confidence interval is obtained after sufficient unbiased sampling; for example, if the CL = 90%, then in 90 out of 100 samples the interval estimate will enclose the true population parameter. Here α is the area under the curve, distributed equally under...
7.9K
Pharmacokinetic Models: Comparison and Selection Criterion
151
Physiological and compartmental models are valuable tools used in studying biological systems. These models rely on differential equations to maintain mass balance within the system, ensuring an accurate representation of the dynamic processes at play.
Physiological models take a detailed approach by considering specific molecular processes. They can predict drug distribution, metabolism, and elimination changes, providing a comprehensive understanding of how drugs interact with the body.
Physiological models take a detailed approach by considering specific molecular processes. They can predict drug distribution, metabolism, and elimination changes, providing a comprehensive understanding of how drugs interact with the body.
151
Hindsight Biases
3.9K
Hindsight bias leads you to believe that the event you just experienced was predictable, even though it really wasn’t. In other words, you knew all along that things would turn out the way they did. Can you relate this to the phrase "Hindsight is 20/20" now?
3.9K
Goodness-of-Fit Test
4.1K
The goodness-of-fit test is a type of hypothesis test which determines whether the data "fits" a particular distribution. For example, one may suspect that some anonymous data may fit a binomial distribution. A chi-square test (meaning the distribution for the hypothesis test is chi-square) can be used to determine if there is a fit. The null and alternative hypotheses may be written in sentences or stated as equations or inequalities. The test statistic for a goodness-of-fit test is given as...
4.1K


