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Updated: Sep 14, 2025

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公共债务是环境债务的"诅咒"还是"祝福":一个小组ARDL方法
Akash Kumar Biswal1, Biswajit Patra1, Malayaranjan Sahoo2
1Department of Economic Sciences, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research (IISER) Bhopal, Bhopal, 462 066, Madhya Pradesh, India.
Journal of environmental management
|July 22, 2025
概括
公共债务最初会损害环境债务,但在更高的水平上,大约占国内生产总值的99%,它会变得有益. 有效的管理可以将这种"诅咒"转化为生态的"祝福".
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 公共财政是公共财政.
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 人们越来越担心国家经济对环境的影响.
- 财政政策与生态健康之间的复杂关系尚未得到充分探索.
- 主要经济体的高公共债务水平需要了解它们对环境的影响.
研究的目的:
- 调查公共债务和环境债务之间的非线性关系.
- 确定公共债务从对环境有害转变为有利的门.
- 探索减轻高负债国家的环境退化因素.
主要方法:
- 对十大负债国家 (1996-2022) 的小组数据分析.
- 应用自回归分布式滞后 (ARDL) 模型.
- 使用可行通用最小方程 (FGLS) 模型进行稳定性检查.
主要成果:
- 公共债务和环境债务之间存在一个非线性,反向的U形关系.
- 公共债务在较低的水平上充当"诅咒",在约99%的债务比GDP上充当"祝福".
- 经济增长,环境税和可再生能源的使用减轻了环境债务,而外国直接投资增加了环境债务.
结论:
- 公共债务管理对于环境结果至关重要.
- 政策干预应旨在利用公共债务的"祝福"阶段为生态利益.
- 可持续的财政和环境政策是长期发展的相互关联.
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