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在中国国家碳市场引入最低价格

Chunli Zhang¹, Ning Chang²

¹Department of Statistics, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics Zhejiang College, Jinhua, 321000, China.

Journal of environmental management

|July 23, 2025

概括

中国的国家碳市场需要碳底价,以鼓励减排和低碳投资. 这项研究提出了2021-2024年特定的底价,发现经济影响适度.

科学领域:

环境经济学环境经济学
气候政策气候政策
能源市场能源市场

背景情况:

中国的国家碳市场面临着过度分配配额和与减排成本分离的价格的挑战.
实现"双碳"目标需要有效的政策工具来激励减排和绿色投资.

研究的目的:

建议设定碳底价,作为增强中国国家碳市场的补充政策.
估计同等边际减排成本,并建议2021-2024年碳底价轨迹.
分析碳底价的可行性,经济影响和缓解激励措施.

主要方法:

使用量子参数定向输出距离函数与省级数据估计等效边际减排成本.
通过比较市场价格与绿色电力的碳成本来验证最低价格的必要性和可行性.
模拟使用非竞争性输入-输出价格模型的短期成本推进效应.

主要成果:

建议的碳底价范围从2021年的CN¥59.68/tCO2到2024年的CN¥64.21/tCO2.
与现有的市场价格和绿色电力成本相比,碳底价证明了可行性和必要性.
模拟显示消费者 (<0.185%) 和生产者 (<0.358%) 的整体影响适度,尽管覆盖和未覆盖部门的成本推进效应.

结论:

实施碳底价是一个可行的策略,以加强减排激励措施,并改善中国碳市场的价格发现.
拟议的最低价格机制可以有效地解决市场效率低下的问题,而不会造成巨大的经济负担.
调查结果为完善气候政策和促进中国可持续发展提供了关键的见解.

关键词:

碳底价碳底价碳底价碳市场是一个碳市场.边际减排成本边际减排成本参数定向输出距离函数的方向距离函数.量子式是指量子式的.

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