在核危机的边缘80年
1Ernest J. Moniz is the chief executive officer of the Nuclear Threat Initiative, Washington, DC, USA and an emeritus professor of physics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA.
概括
核时代始于80年前, 导致了大量的核武器. 虽然军备控制减少了库存,但核威胁仍然存在,迫切需要降低风险和制定长期和平战略.
科学领域:
- 国际关系
- 安全研究
- 核政策
背景情况:
- 广岛和长崎的原子弹袭击开启了核时代.
- 全球军备竞赛导致大约有7万枚核武器.
- 全球核武数量已经减少到近12000枚.
研究的目的:
- 强调核武器在当代全球危机中的持久意义.
- 强调迫切需要采取减少核风险的措施.
- 倡导全球和平与稳定的长期战略愿景.
主要方法:
- 对核武器发展和军备控制条约的历史分析.
- 评估与核扩散有关的当前全球安全动态.
- 现有和拟议的核风险降低策略的政策分析.
主要成果:
- 尽管减少了大量的核武器, 仍然是国际事务的严重威胁.
- 核武库的持续存在加剧了当前的全球危机.
- 核武器的遗产需要在军备控制和裁军方面持续努力.
结论:
- 世界必须优先考虑立即减少核风险的措施.
- 为了实现持久的和平, 必须对外交和降级作出长期承诺.
- 应对核威胁需要短期危机管理和长期战略愿景的双重方法.
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