在MSW管理中分解温室气体减排成本的不确定性:一个案例研究
Anna Zaikova1, Mariia Kozlova2, Osman Şenaydın3
1Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology LUT, Sustainability Science. Yliopistonkatu 34, FI-53851 Lappeenranta, Finland.
Waste management (New York, N.Y.)
|July 24, 2025
概括
从城市固体废物管理中减少温室气体 (GHG) 排放需要仔细考虑不确定性. 门到门的包装废物收集和机械生物处理是强大的,低风险的温室气体减排策略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 废物管理 废物管理
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
背景情况:
- 城市固体废物管理是减少温室气体 (GHG) 排放的一个关键领域.
- 废物管理转型的不确定性可能会挑战成本效益高的减排战略.
研究的目的:
- 检查城市固体废物管理中的温室气体减排解决方案的稳定性和成本效益.
- 通过敏感性分析确定影响减排成本的关键参数.
主要方法:
- 生命周期评估 (LCA) 和生命周期成本计算 (LCC) 用于环境和经济评估.
- 模拟分解与全局灵敏度分析,以评估参数影响.
- 不确定性分析,以评估不同废物管理途径的可靠性.
主要成果:
- 温室气体减排成本的不确定性范围在所有评估的途径中重叠.
- 电力 (A2) 的门到门生物废物收集被认为是潜在的不安全,因为排放减少不一致.
- 门到门的包装废物收集 (A1) 和机械生物处理 (A4) 证明了稳定性,降低了高温室气体减排成本的风险.
结论:
- 先进的混合灵敏度-不确定性方法可以确定可靠的废物管理解决方案.
- 在气候变化缓解战略中,全面考虑不确定性对于明智决策至关重要.
- 特定的废物管理途径,如A1和A4,提供更可靠的温室气体减排效益.
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