事故原因模型的地图学:重新绘制模拟景观的地图
Takaharu Igarashi1, Karen Marais1
1Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA.
概括
本综述绘制了事故因果模型,确定了当前分类中的不一致性. 它提出了一个基于假设和结构的新框架,以指导未来的事故建模研究,以提高安全性.
科学领域:
- 安全科学安全科学 安全科学
- 风险管理 风险管理
- 系统工程 系统工程
背景情况:
- 事故因果模型对于了解和预防事故至关重要.
- 现有的模型面临着标签和定义不一致的挑战,阻碍了客观分析.
- 社会进步需要不断更新事故建模方法.
研究的目的:
- 为了提供事故原因模型景观的全面概述.
- 解决当前模型分类中逻辑不一致和含糊定义的问题.
- 开发一个结构化的替代框架来分析和比较事故模型.
主要方法:
- 对现有的事故因果模型进行系统的文献审查.
- 基于模型假设和图形结构的新型分类地图的开发.
- 对30个选定的事故因果模型进行了深入审查.
主要成果:
- 在现有事故原因模型的分类中发现了重大不一致性和模两可.
- 提出了基于底层假设和几何结构的建模方法的替代映射.
- 对30个模型的详细审查强调了它们的结构如何为安全干预提供信息.
结论:
- 开发的框架为过去和未来的事故建模提供了一个结构化的视角.
- 确定了未开发的研究途径,以推进事故建模实践.
- 强调需要持续开展研究,通过改进事故建模来提高全球安全.
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