1990年至2021年牙损伤的全球负担以及未来的预测
Xiaojing Li1, Rui Li2, Haozhen Wang3
1State Key Laboratory of Oral & Maxillofacial Reconstruction and Regeneration, National Clinical Research Center for Oral Diseases, Shaanxi Clinical Research Center for Oral Diseases, Department of Pediatric Dentistry, School of Stomatology, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China; Department of stomatology, The 942nd Hospital of the People's Liberation Army Joint Logistic Support Force, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, Yinchuan, China.
从1990年到2021年,永久牙和落叶牙的全球牙 (腔) 增加了. 系统性疾病与较高的脏病风险有关,需要改进预防策略.
科学领域:
- 全球健康 全球健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 牙科公共卫生 牙科公共卫生
背景情况:
- 未经治疗的牙损伤代表着全球健康的重大负担.
- 了解趋势和风险因素对于有效的公共卫生干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 描述1990年至2021年间永久牙和落叶牙未经治疗的病的全球负担,趋势和危险因素.
主要方法:
- 利用2021年全球疾病负担研究对204个国家的数据.
- 使用年龄标准化利率,百分比变化和贝叶斯模型进行趋势分析和预测.
- 通过Loess和Spearman的相关性分析,研究了全身性疾病和虫之间的关联.
主要成果:
- 在1990年至2021年期间,永久牙的全球病例从146亿增加到224亿,而叶牙则从49亿增加到520亿.
- 包括心血管疾病,糖尿病和营养不足在内的全身性疾病与空发病率,流行率和残疾有显著的关联.
- 由于人口增长,预计到2050年永久牙的病例将达到226亿.
结论:
- 在过去的三十年中,叶落和永久性牙的发生率都在上升.
- 永久性牙损的风险受到各种系统性疾病的存在的显著影响.
- 建议决策者紧急实施有效的预防和控制策略,以解决这个不断升级的健康问题.
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