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拉丁美洲气候变化风险感知的决定因素
Guilherme N Fasolin1, Matias Spektor2, Renan Marques3
1Department of Political Science, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA. guilherme.n.fasolin@vanderbilt.edu.
Nature communications
|July 27, 2025
概括
拉丁美洲的气候变化风险感知是由情绪驱动的,比如担心和易受极端天气的影响,而不是政治意识形态. 这种理解是新兴经济体有效的气候沟通的关键.
科学领域:
- 环境心理学 环境心理学
- 关于气候变化的沟通
- 拉丁美洲研究 拉丁美洲研究
背景情况:
- 气候变化风险感知影响缓解和适应行为.
- 在高收入国家进行的研究确定了认知,社会文化和政治因素作为关键预测因素.
- 这些预测因素对低收入和中等收入地区的适用性是不确定的.
研究的目的:
- 评估拉丁美洲的气候变化风险感知.
- 确定该地区这些观念的关键预测因素.
- 将研究结果与高收入国家的研究结果进行比较.
主要方法:
- 在七个拉丁美洲国家进行跨国调查 (N=5338).
- 统计分析以确定气候风险感知的预测因素.
- 与高收入国家的现有文献进行比较分析.
主要成果:
- 情绪反应 (担忧,对极端天气的感知脆弱性) 是气候风险感知最强的预测因素.
- 政治意识形态和社会人口统计因素显示出弱小和不一致的关联.
- 这些发现与在高收入西方国家观察到的模式有很大差异.
结论:
- 拉丁美洲的气候变化风险感知主要是由情绪反应和感知到的脆弱性驱动的.
- 在这个地区,政治意识形态似乎不是气候变化观念的重大分裂因素.
- 针对性风险沟通策略对于新兴经济体至关重要,利用情绪驱动因素进行有效的参与.
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