在内镜下粘膜解剖后食道紧张的风险预测模型:系统性审查和元分析
Xiaoxuan Zhou1, Bingbing Wu1, Dayu Tang1
1Nursing Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University, School of Medicine, No.88 Jiefang Road, Hangzhou, China.
Digestive diseases and sciences
|July 27, 2025
概括
这项研究系统地评估了在内镜下粘膜解剖 (ESD) 后食道狭窄的风险预测模型. 肌肉自身损伤成为最可靠的预测因素,突出了改善临床实践和未来研究的领域.
科学领域:
- 胃肠病学 胃肠病学
- 手术瘤学手术瘤学
- 医疗信息学 医疗信息学
背景情况:
- 消化道狭窄后内镜下粘膜切割 (ESD) 的风险预测模型正在增加.
- 然而,它们的方法质量和临床适用性需要彻底评估.
研究的目的:
- 系统地评估ESD后食道狭窄的现有风险预测模型.
- 为基于证据的选择提供信息,并指导该领域的未来研究.
主要方法:
- 对国际和中国数据库进行了全面的系统搜索.
- 使用PROBAST检查清单来评估偏差风险和适用性.
- 对使用RevMan 5.4.4的预测因素进行了元分析.
主要成果:
- 包括13个风险预测模型的13项研究;10个模型显示AUC>0.8.8.
- 所有研究都有高偏差风险,但适用性良好.
- 发现的关键预测因素包括病变位置,大小,程度,深度和肌肉自身损伤;后者是最可靠的预测因素 (OR=5.53).
结论:
- 对于ESD后食道狭窄的现有风险预测模型的质量有所不同.
- 肌肉自身损伤是一个重要的预测因素.
- 未来的研究应侧重于方法严谨性,外部验证和对可修改因素的前性研究,以精确预防狭窄.
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