地磁干扰和电网脆弱性:将风暴强度与电力系统故障相关联
Mauro González Figueroa1, Daniel David Herrera Acevedo1, David Sierra Porta2
1Escuela de Ingeniería, Arquitectura y Dise no, Universidad Tecnológica de Bolívar, Cartagena de Indias, Bolívar, Colombia.
PloS one
|July 28, 2025
概括
地磁风暴显著增加了无法解释的停电. 监测强烈的太阳活动和太空天气对于提高电网可靠性和防止中断至关重要.
科学领域:
- 地理学和太空天气天气
- 电气工程和电力系统.
背景情况:
- 地磁风暴对现代电网可靠性构成风险.
- 了解太空天气和电力中断之间的联系至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查地磁风暴活动与美国无法解释的停电之间的相关性.
- 确定影响电力系统可靠性的关键空间天气参数.
主要方法:
- 从2006年到2023年分析了地磁风暴数据 (Dst指数) 和太阳风参数 (质子密度,等离子速度,IMF).
- 使用的DOE OE-417 停电数据的年度总结.
- 采用了相关性分析和回归建模.
主要成果:
- 那些频繁和强烈地磁风暴的年份,出现了更高的原因不明的停电率.
- 负Dst值,高太阳风速度和α/质子比与停电增加相关.
- 风暴强度和磁场强度是无法解释的停电的重要预测因素.
结论:
- 地磁风暴强度是无法解释的停电的一个关键因素.
- 监测太空天气对于提高电网弹性至关重要.
- 建议改进中断报告和注意太空天气影响.
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