基于人工智能的交通事故严重性的预测,以提高道路安全和运输效率
Ayman Mohamed Mostafa1,2, Bader Aldughayfiq3, Mayada Tarek4,5
1Information Systems Department, College of Computer and Information Sciences, Jouf University, 72388, Sakaka, Saudi Arabia. amhassane@ju.edu.sa.
Scientific reports
|July 29, 2025
概括
这项研究开发了一个人工智能机器学习框架,使用超过226万条记录来预测交通事故的严重程度. 额外树木模型实现了96.19%的准确性,提高了道路安全和事故预防策略.
科学领域:
- 运输安全运输安全
- 人工智能的人工智能
- 机器学习 机器学习
背景情况:
- 安全运输依赖于了解驾驶行为和道路安全,以减轻事故.
- 准确的交通事故预测对于降低风险和提高流动性至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 引入人工智能驱动的机器学习框架,用于预测交通事故严重程度.
- 整合人类,事故特定和车辆因素,以提高预测准确度.
主要方法:
- 使用了一个大规模的数据集 (>226万条记录).
- 采用了特征工程,K-Means,HDBSCAN集群和过量采样技术 (随机过量采样器,SMOTE,边界线-SMOTE,ADASYN).
- 应用基于相关性的特征选择 (CFS) 和递归特征消除 (RFE) 用于特征选择,评估分类器包括额外树 (ET分类器).
主要成果:
- 额外树木 (ET分类器) 组合模型实现了96.19%的准确性和95.28%的F1得分 (宏观).
- 该框架在预测交通事故严重程度方面表现出卓越的表现.
- 该模型提供了一个平衡的预测系统.
结论:
- 拟议的AI/ML框架为交通安全和事故预防提供了一个可扩展的解决方案.
- 先进的ML和特征选择技术提高了交通风险评估.
- 该研究使智能运输系统 (ITS) 的数据驱动决策成为可能.
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