根据变化速率和混合物度,预先警告剩余的时间到报警
Zijiang Yang1, Jiandong Wang1, Honghai Li2
1College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China.
Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|July 29, 2025
概括
这项研究引入了工业过程的新预警系统. 它估计了警报的剩余时间,增强了操作员的响应并防止了事故.
科学领域:
- 工业过程安全 工业过程安全
- 控制工程 控制工程 控制工程
- 数据分析 数据分析
背景情况:
- 报警系统对于工业过程安全至关重要.
- 报警后可能会发生事故,需要采取主动措施.
- 现有的方法缺乏足够的预警能力.
研究的目的:
- 为工业过程变量开发预警方法.
- 提醒操作员警报剩余时间.
- 通过提供及时警告,加强事故预防.
主要方法:
- 估计剩余的警报时间使用变化率和混合质量趋势的 entropies.
- 利用贝叶斯估计理论来确定一个最佳的预警值.
- 使用混合来测量趋势部分达到警报值的可能性.
主要成果:
- 提出的方法有效地估计了警报的剩余时间.
- 通过考虑不确定性和虚假预警率来确定一个最佳的预警值.
- 混合作为趋势可能性的可靠指标.
结论:
- 开发的预警方法提高了工业过程的安全性.
- 它在预测和预防事故方面比现有方法具有优势.
- 这种方法为运营商提供了干预的关键时间.
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