动态建模和系统识别的用户参与的mHealth干预使用贝叶斯的方法缺失的数据计算计算
Mohamed El Mistiri1, Steven De La Torre2, Benjamin M Marlin3
1Control Systems Engineering Laboratory in the Chemical Engineering Department, School for Engineering of Matter, Transport at Arizona State University, Tempe, 85282, Arizona, USA.
概括
数字行为改变干预措施 (DBCI) 改善健康行为,但需要用户参与. 本研究引入了贝叶斯计算方法,以准确地建模参与动态,并处理DBCI中缺失的数据.
科学领域:
- 控制系统工程 控制系统工程
- 数字健康数字健康
- 行为科学 行为科学
背景情况:
- 数字行为改变干预 (DBCI) 显示出改善健康行为的前景.
- 用户与数字工具和干预措施的互动对于DBCI的有效性至关重要.
- 参与模式根据个人背景和心理状态而演变.
研究的目的:
- 将DBCI中的用户参与模式作为一个动态系统.
- 用一种新的贝叶斯归因方法来解决参与跟踪中缺少数据的挑战.
- 为了量化强大的闭环干预设计的归算不确定性.
主要方法:
- 从HeartSteps II研究中建模参与数据作为一个动态系统.
- 从系统识别应用预测错误方法.
- 使用一种新的贝叶斯归因技术来处理丢失的参与数据.
主要成果:
- 贝叶斯归算方法提供比传统方法更准确的数据归算.
- 该方法量化了从归算和数据稀缺性中产生的不确定性.
- 获得了对影响参与行为随时间和背景的因素的洞察力.
结论:
- 准确的参与动态建模对于有效的DBCI至关重要.
- 贝叶斯归因为参与研究中处理缺失数据提供了一个强大的解决方案.
- 这项工作支持开发基于控制工程的数字健康干预措施.
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