比利时病的增加趋势,2000-2023年
Valeska Laisnez1,2, Isabel Brosius3, Wim Van Bortel3
1Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium. Valeska.Laisnez@sciensano.be.
概括
从2011年到2023年,比利时的人类病诊断显著增加,特别是在初级保健和年轻成年人中. 这一趋势凸显出越来越多的公共卫生问题,需要进一步调查潜在原因.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 皮肤病学 皮肤病学
背景情况:
- 在过去的二十年中,一些欧洲国家报告了人类病例的增加.
- 比利时观察到病爆发,这表明潜在的上升趋势.
- 在比利时,个人病例不需要报告,因此需要通过间接数据进行趋势分析.
研究的目的:
- 描述2000年至2023年比利时人类病的趋势.
- 分析病诊断和治疗销售随着时间的推移而发生的演变.
- 为了确定发病率的人口和地理模式.
主要方法:
- 利用通用线性模型分析病诊断的年度趋势和季节性.
- 从全科医生,职业健康服务,寻求庇护者庇护所和学生健康设施中检查了数据.
- 分析了第一线治疗方法 (甲素) 的全国销售数据.
主要成果:
- 在所有调查环境中,观察到病诊断的每年显著增加 (p < 0.001).
- 初级保健部门的年增长率为15% (2011-2023年);药品销售额增长了15% (2012-2022年).
- 在15-24岁,城市地区和男性中发现更高的发病率,在寒冷的月份出现更高的发病率.
结论:
- 自2011年以来,比利时病发病率的强烈上升趋势是明显的.
- 年轻人群,城市环境和寒冷的月份与较高的发病率有关.
- 建议进行进一步的研究,以量化增加并探索有助于增长的因素.
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